Description: From a session at the Spring meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in San Antonio, Texas, June 14-15, 2004 This session covers different methods for estimating future volatility of financial markets, how to predict the effect of volatility on insurance company results, alternative approaches to managing volatility and the impact on volatility management on the choice of modeling method.

Description: Discusses some methodological questions which arose in connection with ratemaking for the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

Description: This paper uses contingent claims analysis to evaluate portfolios of vulnerable private loan guarantees and investigate their risk diversification properties.

Description: Article AERF in The Actuary, May 1979, Volume 13, Number 5

Description: This paper studies the tail probability of discounted aggregate claims in a continuous-time renewal model. For the case that the common claim-size distribution is subexponential, the authors obtain an asymptotic formula, which holds uniformly for all time horizons within a finite interval. Then, with some additional mild assumptions on the distributions of the claim sizes and inter-arrival times, the authors further prove that this formula holds uniformly for all time horizons.

Description: We derive formulas for calculating the premiums that should be charged on policies in a discounted cash flow model with tax reserves and required assets that are determined by regulation. We also determine the unique division of required assets into “reserves” and “capital” that allows the product profitability to be correctly evaluated. That is, the profit after capital charges is zero if the product achieves the return assumed in pricing. We illustrate the concepts using whole life insurance and guaranteed minimum death benefit examples.

Description: Presented at October 1996 Annual Meeting. This discussion presents an introduction to Monte Carlo and why it is used for integration and valuation of complex formulas. Moreover, results using low-discrepancy sequences instead of the Monte Carlo simulation for pension fund analysis is shared.

Description: This paper looks at mathematical problems formulated in either explicit or implicit form. Followed by several discussion papers submitted

Description: This report looks at closed form models or 'exact solutions' in which calculus produces 'simple' formulae. The conclusion is that for Gaussian interest rate models we can solve the problem of an American option provided the option holder behaviour can be described by a force of option exercise which is linear or quadratic in the state variables.

Description: This session from the 1993 Valuation Actuary Symposium focuses on problems and solutions observed by consulting firms including cash flow testing, modeling of assets and liabilities, who the valuation actuary relies upon and the software being used for valuation actuary work.